#prediction markets

An Israeli Air Force officer just got charged. The crime? Using classified...

August 11, 2024. FlightAware files a lawsuit against Kalshi. Within 48 hours,...

The market says there's a 31% chance Bitcoin hits $70K this month. But the mo...

Over the past seven days, the CLARITY Act's passage probability on major...

The headline arrived like a victory lap. $20 billion in World Cup prediction...

Everyone thinks BLG’s LPL opening run is the catalyst for esports prediction...

The data shows a 31.5% probability that Russian forces will enter Druzhkivka...

Chasing the white whale in the 2017 ether rush taught me one thing: when a...

Alerts screamed while the rest of the world slept. Over the past 72 hours, a...

Polymarket, the decentralized prediction platform, just priced a 70%...

The blockchain doesn’t lie. People do. Wallets don’t blink. They just move. I...

The market does not predict; it prices. A crypto prediction market currently...

The data arrived in two conflicting streams. On-chain prediction markets pegg...

The blockchain doesn’t lie, but it does require patience to read. On July 22,...

On Polymarket, the contract sits at 45.5%. Not a price. A probability. The...

Black Sea Grain Attack: On-Chain Signals of a Broken Consensus The code never...

A single line of code on Polymarket just became more valuable than a thousand...

The silence in the order book is louder than the spike. Over the past 48 hour...

I first encountered the Nakamoto Project’s report not through a press release...

A prediction market is screaming 78% – Iran will strike Israel by July 22. Th...

The probability climbed from 28.5% to 43.5%. A single data point, published b...

The market barely blinked when Coinbase announced its ambitions to bring an...

Markets lie, but liquidity tells the truth. Over the past 72 hours, BlackRock...

To hunt the truth, one must first bury the hype. On May 24, 2024, Kuwait...

A prediction market is pricing in a 78% chance that Iran will attack by July...

Polymarket odds for a US-Iran diplomatic meeting just hit 0.1%. That is not a...

The prediction market logged 30.5% confidence that Iran would fully blockade...

Tracing the invisible ink of protocol logic. The Crypto Clarity Act, once...

Breaking – 14:32 UTC, Taipei The numbers are in. And they’re screaming...

Over the past 72 hours, a single number has ricocheted through crypto Telegra...

On Polymarket, the probability of a military strike against Iran by July 22...

Polymarket’s "FIFA Sanctions Argentina" contract opened at 55 cents to the ye...

The ledger shows a 63% probability. A military deployment is confirmed. The...

The chart spiked before the coffee cooled. At 8:47 AM Vietnam time,...

The market is whispering, and it's saying something uncomfortable. Over the...

The market priced a 12% chance. The data models saw a rotational squad with a...

The Polymarket contract 'Iran strikes Erbil graveyard' settled at 59.5% YES....

Over the past 48 hours, a single narrative has ricocheted through crypto...

The irony digs deep. The CFTC—the very agency that greenlit Kalshi as the fir...

Hook "We didn't expect this from the very regulator that approved us." That w...

On a Tuesday afternoon, a single misquoted line from a training ground presse...

The numbers are staggering. Over a 15-day stretch wrapping the World Cup...

December 18, 2022, 18:00 UTC. The final whistle in Lusail Stadium settles mor...

Michael Burry filed his 13F last week. Nestled among the usual...

The EWC VALORANT 2026 final is set, pitting South Korea's Nongshim RedForce...

Argentina lifts the World Cup. Messi finally gets his crown. The crowd sings....

On the final day of the Mid-Season Invitational 2026, the esports prediction...

The judge’s ruling came at 2:15 PM. Kalshi’s lawyers had two hours to digest...

Hook Three days before the USMNT officially announced Folarin Balogun’s retur...

The moment Norway’s winning goal hit the net, the on-chain prediction markets...